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the  Index of  Industrial  production  (‘IIp’) registered a growth   prioritising project governance according to Covid-19 affected
           of 0.5% in  april-december 2019, as compared to 4.7% during   regions and leveraging business continuity planning are key to
           april-december 2018. IIp of the manufacturing sector declined   overcoming the situation.
           by 1.2% in december 2019, as compared to a growth of 2.9% in
           december 2018.                                    Global Trend: uncertainty for the world, possibilities for India (as
                                                             per KpMg report on Indian Chemicals Industry, February 2020)
           growth of bank credit was 7.1% (YoY basis) as on January 31, 2020,   •   Several global oil and gas majors are turning their sights
           as compared to 14.5% in the corresponding fortnight end of the   towards downstream chemical opportunities.  this may
           previous year.                                        increase the focus on petrochemicals in India and higher
                                                                 investment in the sector may ease feedstock challenges and
           the Budget estimates of the fiscal deficit as percentage of gdp   boost self-sufficiency.
           for  FY 2019-20  have  been  set  at 3.3%,  as  compared to  3.4%  in
           FY 2018-19 (provisional actual or pa).            •   the structure of China’s chemical industry is changing due
                                                                 to  stricter  environmental  norms,  tighter  financing  and
           the rupee exchange rate (re/uS$) stood at 71.3138 at the end of   consolidation, which could present opportunities for India’s
           January 2020, compared to 71.2328 at the end of december 2019.  chemical companies in certain value chains and segments,
                                                                 especially in the short term.
           India’s  current  account  deficit  (Cad)  was  0.9%  of  gdp  (uS$  6.3
           billion) in the second quarter of FY 2019-20 as compared to 2.9%   •   trade conflicts have erupted around the world, especially
           gdp (uS$ 19 billion) in the second quarter of FY 2018-19.  among China, the united States and Western europe. large
                                                                 chemical  markets that  remain accessible  in this  scenario
           external debt stood at uS$ 557.5 billion at end-September 2019,   could present opportunities for chemical companies in India.
           recording an increase of 0.5% over the level at end-June 2019.
           long-term debt was  uS$ 448.4 billion at end-September 2019,   •   Industry-wide, there seems to be a move towards prioritisation
                                                                 of core businesses and consolidation on a greater scale, often
           while the remaining uS$ 109.1 billion was short-term debt.
                                                                 through big-ticket mergers and acquisitions. For companies
           Sectoral Information                                  in India, scale will matter even more, as it could help them to
                                                                 fortify any other competitive advantage.
           the Chemicals industry in India contributes 1.34% to the nation’s
           gross Value  added  (Source: National Investment Promotion &   •   digital technology has established itself as a lever to enhance
           Facilitation Agency) and is a highly diversified business, covering   efficiency and productivity. Indian companies could tap into
           more than 80,000 commercial products broadly classified into Bulk   this opportunity to expand their profit margins.
           Chemicals, Specialty Chemicals,  agrochemicals,  petrochemicals,
                                        th
                                                       th
           polymers and Fertilisers. India ranks 14  in export and 8  in   •   Chemical companies could prioritise environmental
           import of chemicals (excluding pharmaceutical products) globally.   sustainability to protect long-term shareholder value, while
           the demand for chemical products is expected to grow at   continuing to comply with local regulations.
           approximately 9% per annum over the next 5 years.
                                                             Agriculture
           Specialty Chemicals constitute 22% of total chemicals/  gross  Value  added (gVa) by agriculture, forestry and fishing
           petrochemicals market in India. as of FY 2017-18, the total market   is estimated at  ` 18.55 lakh crore (uS$ 265.51 billion) in
           size was around uS$ 35 billion. the demand for Specialty Chemicals   FY 2018-19 as per the IBeF January 2020 report. according to the
           is expected to grow at 12% Cagr during FY 2019-22.  department for promotion of Industry and Internal trade (dpIIt),
                                                             the Indian food processing industry has cumulatively attracted FdI
           Key sectors such as automobile faced a slowdown that rolled   equity inflow of about uS$ 9.41 billion between april 2000 and
           over from the previous year, as sales fell 13.83% YoY in January   June 2019.
           2020.
                                                             the  union  agriculture Ministry has asked the states to plan for
           projects in the construction sector worth more than  ` 59,000   a total foodgrain production of 298 million tonnes (149.92 Mt
           billion  are  under  development,  but  severely  impacted  by   kharif plus 148.4 Mt rabi) for the crop year FY 2020-21, increasing
           Covid-19. India’s goal of becoming a uS$ 5 trillion economy rests   mainly the output of pulses and coarse cereals. there has also
           on the completion of critical infrastructure under the  national   been an increase in targets for oilseeds and cotton to 36.64 million
           Infrastructure  plan.  enhancing  labour  health,  strengthening  and   tonnes (against the production estimate of 34.19 million tonnes in


           102  I  Integrated annual report 2019-20
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